Monthly Archives: March 2012

Latest Case-Shiller report on home price trends

Thumbnail image links to original article

Thumbnail image links to original article

I always like to read S&Ps Case-Shiller report to see how housing is trending nationwide. They just released their latest report. Click on the image to link to the original. Although I like following housing trends, you have to take all the statistics with a large grain of salt. All real estate is local, and locally in the Redding housing market, the numbers are often too low to be statistically significant. Still, every month we get some breathless report about housing being up or down as though it were a stock market index. It’s just not. People need housing, and they often buy for emotional reasons not related to valuation. How can you predict individual emotions across regions?

Still, we like to peek.

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The most beautiful home for sale around here?

Beauty is in the eye of the beholder, but no question this is one of the most beautifully photographed homes we’ve seen recently. 36336 Deer Flat Shingletown 96088 short sales in shasta county36336 Deer Flat Shingletown 96088 short sales in shasta county36336 Deer Flat Shingletown 96088 short sales in shasta county36336 Deer Flat Shingletown 96088 short sales in shasta county36336 Deer Flat Shingletown 96088 short sales in shasta county36336 Deer Flat Shingletown 96088 short sales in shasta county36336 Deer Flat Shingletown 96088 short sales in shasta countyGorgeous by any standard. The 35 supplied full-sized images of this Tahoe Style Shingletown home reveal incredible detail and aesthetic appreciation. It’s also among the largest homes ever listed for sale in our MLS as a 5780 sqft 4/4 on 3 acres. Representing the seller is agent Charlie Kramm of Platinum Properties. He writes of it:

“ABSOLUTELY STUNNING custom log home located on 3 beautiful acres. Incredible architecture throughout, top of the line features, radiant floors, wrap around composite deck, observatory, views from every room, great room, media/bonus room, 1200sq ft garage, custom wet bar, finished walk in basement with full kitchen & bath. Close to fishing, hiking, CC skiing, & adjacent to Sierra Pacific land.”

Although it isn’t mentioned, we think you should be aware that this is a short sale, which is to say the list price is less than what is owed the lender. Offered at $104 per sqft, it’s a price that seems to us you could not duplicate if you were trying to build it new. Not even close. There are no guarantees that the lender will accept an offer at list price, but if you are interested in such a home as this, it seems worth a try. If successful, the buyer will be getting an awesome bargain. The seller has requested showings by appointment only, so call us if you’d like to see it, and we can arrange it for you.

Call or Text (530) 255 4070

As always, you can find a complete list of short sale and other distress sale homes for sale around here at http://ReddingForeclosures.info

EDIT: I just re-read this and realized I never mentioned the price. The old saying is if you have to ask, you can’t afford it, but that may not be true here. They are only asking $599K.

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State rules over Septic Systems change

We Realtors were very concerned about proposed added level of state government regulation with new rules over septic systems. Basically, it would have imposed very expensive testing at point of sale for all the septic systems around the Shasta County region. Recently, the state issued the current map that illustrates those problem areas, and we aren’t on it. That makes the septic rule changes irrelevant to us. Click on the map to go to the actual page.

Septic system map

Click to go to actual current map

Of course the map can change, and those rules may be enforced here. There are a few areas I can think of where the density of septic systems and proximity to freshwater streams and bodies of water may become an issue. And in that case, enforcement of these rules may become necessary anyway.

State bureaucracy sounds pretty negative until you find your well water has been contaminated by somebody else’s sewage.

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Fascinating audio/visual map of world earthquake activity

Truly remarkable to see. A visual representation of 2011 earthquakes worldwide, along with an audio sound corresponding to the seismic power and depth of each event. Amazing, really. Be sure to turn up your sound.


Here in the Northstate we are complacent about earthquake safety. Most of the well known faults head offshore along the coast to the west. But you can clearly see 2 (count ‘em ) VOLCANOES from Redding. Why would we be immune?

On viewing, it looks to me like the west coast of the US was unusually quiet in 2011. Not Japan.

Prominent earthquake safety measures for the home include mandatory strapping of water heaters at Point of Sale. In practice, we agents see few homes anymore without strapping already in place. But other structural safety measures are left to individuals, and can include anchoring walls to foundations, bracing cripple walls, and retrofitting un-reinforced masonry. There are no mandated standards for older homes. We don’t see much awareness of that, so we make sure that buyers sign a form showing these items are recognized at point of sale.

Of course with so much sales lately being “distress’ sales, no official disclosure is required of any of this seismic standard information to potential buyers. But we make sure our buyers are made aware anyway. Be safe.

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Are we at the local housing market bottom?

Today I was quoted by David Benda in the local newspaper. An article about Shasta County foreclosure trends. One local broker goes out on a limb to predict a market bottom. Not me. Here’s a chart from my spreadsheet of Shasta County Home Sales since 2011.
Feb 2012 Average Prices Shasta County homesFeb 2012 Average Prices Numbers Shasta County home salesAbove, is Shasta County homes only, and the data is from the Shasta MLS. If you look at these Average prices (instead of Median), you might have called bottom in May 2011. Or last October. Meanwhile, taken as a whole, the average price has dropped $37,851 over the last 14 months.

I have said there are 2 thresholds that might set a bottom.

1. When you can’t build new for what you’d pay to buy already built.
2. When you can buy for less monthly than you’d pay to rent a similar home.

We crossed both those thresholds some time ago, but prices still decline. Another of my quotes in the article is that pricing seems to be set not by supply and demand, but by large banks and the government. With so much impact from foreclosure inventory affecting local prices, local home values are whatever they say it will be. Want to know when the market is at bottom? Ask them.

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I am renewed

Skip Murphy The Address Realty

Skip Murphy with The Address Realty

Having obtained my real estate license in California, I found my education had only just begun. On top of the million things I have to know to be of use to clients, I need to renew my license to practice every 4 years. This year, it required completion of 45 hours of study in these disciplines:

RISK MANAGEMENT
REAL ESTATE MATTERS
FAIR HOUSING
TRUST FUNDS
AGENCY
ETHICS

I completed my 8th year as an agent and REALTOR yesterday. Passing the exams, and paying my dues, I’m ready to serve until 2016. Call if you need anything real estate related.

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Fannie Freddie executive pay “capped.”

“The government says it will cap pay for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac chief executives at $500,000 per year and eliminate annual bonuses for all employees…
The government rescued Fannie and Freddie three years ago after they nearly folded because of big losses on risky mortgages. Taxpayers have spent about $170 billion to prop up the two companies, the most expensive bailout of the 2008 financial crisis.”

This from SF Gate. Read more: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/n/a/2012/03/09/financial/f070443S38.DTL#ixzz1ovRVFSe5
Awesome. You should be limited to $500,000 per year for overseeing losses to taxpayers of $170B. I mean, what kind of executive could you get to work for less than half a million per year? One that would lose $180B? Stunning, really.

Foreclosed home for sale by Freddie Mac in Oak Run.

Foreclosed home for sale by Freddie Mac in Oak Run listed by Kevin Burns of Coldwell Banker.

This home was foreclosed on once already in this cycle, and back in 2007 for $247K. Freddie Mac felt comfortable loaning money on it, apparently, but then it foreclosed again. Now here it is for sale at about half what was paid. Repeat this one local Shasta County real estate scenario a thousand times across the country, and it’s easy to see how rather large taxpayer losses could accumulate. So punish the executives with that miserly $500K pay? That’ll teach ‘em!

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Awful home listing photos

AOL Real Estate has gathered several remarkable images from actual real estate listings. Photos that would leave most people scratching their heads in wonder. Fun to see.

Awful Listing Photos not in Redding

Click on the image for more

We see awful listing photos like these all the time. But we can’t post images from our own Shasta MLS here. We never know when we might have to work with the agent we just made fun of…

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Local home prices 2012, so far

As mentioned in the prior post, home sales were up slightly February from January 2012. According to the Shasta MLS today, we went from a total 195 homes in January, to 212 sold in February. A hopeful trend. We wondered, what prices have homes in the Redding area been selling for?

In January, the average home sold for $179,587; and the Median Price was $143,500.
In February it was $154,203 on average, with a Median Price of $133,000.

We can attest that homes below the Median price level have been in high demand. Obviously, homes above median are selling, but it seems to us that they are on the market longer, and more often drop prices before ultimately selling.

The most expensive home sold in January was this one on El Capitan, for $875,000.

Luxury homes in Redding

Listed and sold by Nedra Cook of Coldwell Banker

It started out listed just under $1M, and was on the market over a year. It was beauty, and elegantly decorated. We toured it, but never showed it.

The most expensive home sold in February was this one on Calle Camelia, for $760,000.
Luxury home in Redding

Home listed and sold by Chad Phillips of Venture Properties

And this one first listed for $1.35M, so is evidence of our theory about high end price drops from the last paragraph. This one dropped nearly half. We were scheduled to show it, but it was scooped up before our buyers could see it. It was really quite nice.

The least expensive home sold in January was $19,900 on Montana. It listed and sold with no price drop in just over 30 days.
The least expensive home sold in February was $28,000 on Silver. It listed for $59K last October, so had to reduce.

No pictures of the least expensive? No.

And we must mention that these statistics are for the entire MLS which includes some homes outside the Greater Redding, and Shasta County area. And we must add that information seen here is deemed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed. © 2012 MLS and FBS.
Prepared by Skip Murphy on Friday, March 09, 2012 8:31 AM

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