State rules over Septic Systems change

We Realtors were very concerned about proposed added level of state government regulation with new rules over septic systems. Basically, it would have imposed very expensive testing at point of sale for all the septic systems around the Shasta County region. Recently, the state issued the current map that illustrates those problem areas, and we aren’t on it. That makes the septic rule changes irrelevant to us. Click on the map to go to the actual page.

Septic system map

Click to go to actual current map

Of course the map can change, and those rules may be enforced here. There are a few areas I can think of where the density of septic systems and proximity to freshwater streams and bodies of water may become an issue. And in that case, enforcement of these rules may become necessary anyway.

State bureaucracy sounds pretty negative until you find your well water has been contaminated by somebody else’s sewage.

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Fascinating audio/visual map of world earthquake activity

Truly remarkable to see. A visual representation of 2011 earthquakes worldwide, along with an audio sound corresponding to the seismic power and depth of each event. Amazing, really. Be sure to turn up your sound.


Here in the Northstate we are complacent about earthquake safety. Most of the well known faults head offshore along the coast to the west. But you can clearly see 2 (count ‘em ) VOLCANOES from Redding. Why would we be immune?

On viewing, it looks to me like the west coast of the US was unusually quiet in 2011. Not Japan.

Prominent earthquake safety measures for the home include mandatory strapping of water heaters at Point of Sale. In practice, we agents see few homes anymore without strapping already in place. But other structural safety measures are left to individuals, and can include anchoring walls to foundations, bracing cripple walls, and retrofitting un-reinforced masonry. There are no mandated standards for older homes. We don’t see much awareness of that, so we make sure that buyers sign a form showing these items are recognized at point of sale.

Of course with so much sales lately being “distress’ sales, no official disclosure is required of any of this seismic standard information to potential buyers. But we make sure our buyers are made aware anyway. Be safe.

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Are we at the local housing market bottom?

Today I was quoted by David Benda in the local newspaper. An article about Shasta County foreclosure trends. One local broker goes out on a limb to predict a market bottom. Not me. Here’s a chart from my spreadsheet of Shasta County Home Sales since 2011.
Feb 2012 Average Prices Shasta County homesFeb 2012 Average Prices Numbers Shasta County home salesAbove, is Shasta County homes only, and the data is from the Shasta MLS. If you look at these Average prices (instead of Median), you might have called bottom in May 2011. Or last October. Meanwhile, taken as a whole, the average price has dropped $37,851 over the last 14 months.

I have said there are 2 thresholds that might set a bottom.

1. When you can’t build new for what you’d pay to buy already built.
2. When you can buy for less monthly than you’d pay to rent a similar home.

We crossed both those thresholds some time ago, but prices still decline. Another of my quotes in the article is that pricing seems to be set not by supply and demand, but by large banks and the government. With so much impact from foreclosure inventory affecting local prices, local home values are whatever they say it will be. Want to know when the market is at bottom? Ask them.

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I am renewed

Skip Murphy The Address Realty

Skip Murphy with The Address Realty

Having obtained my real estate license in California, I found my education had only just begun. On top of the million things I have to know to be of use to clients, I need to renew my license to practice every 4 years. This year, it required completion of 45 hours of study in these disciplines:

RISK MANAGEMENT
REAL ESTATE MATTERS
FAIR HOUSING
TRUST FUNDS
AGENCY
ETHICS

I completed my 8th year as an agent and REALTOR yesterday. Passing the exams, and paying my dues, I’m ready to serve until 2016. Call if you need anything real estate related.

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Fannie Freddie executive pay “capped.”

“The government says it will cap pay for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac chief executives at $500,000 per year and eliminate annual bonuses for all employees…
The government rescued Fannie and Freddie three years ago after they nearly folded because of big losses on risky mortgages. Taxpayers have spent about $170 billion to prop up the two companies, the most expensive bailout of the 2008 financial crisis.”

This from SF Gate. Read more: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/n/a/2012/03/09/financial/f070443S38.DTL#ixzz1ovRVFSe5
Awesome. You should be limited to $500,000 per year for overseeing losses to taxpayers of $170B. I mean, what kind of executive could you get to work for less than half a million per year? One that would lose $180B? Stunning, really.

Foreclosed home for sale by Freddie Mac in Oak Run.

Foreclosed home for sale by Freddie Mac in Oak Run listed by Kevin Burns of Coldwell Banker.

This home was foreclosed on once already in this cycle, and back in 2007 for $247K. Freddie Mac felt comfortable loaning money on it, apparently, but then it foreclosed again. Now here it is for sale at about half what was paid. Repeat this one local Shasta County real estate scenario a thousand times across the country, and it’s easy to see how rather large taxpayer losses could accumulate. So punish the executives with that miserly $500K pay? That’ll teach ‘em!

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Awful home listing photos

AOL Real Estate has gathered several remarkable images from actual real estate listings. Photos that would leave most people scratching their heads in wonder. Fun to see.

Awful Listing Photos not in Redding

Click on the image for more

We see awful listing photos like these all the time. But we can’t post images from our own Shasta MLS here. We never know when we might have to work with the agent we just made fun of…

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Local home prices 2012, so far

As mentioned in the prior post, home sales were up slightly February from January 2012. According to the Shasta MLS today, we went from a total 195 homes in January, to 212 sold in February. A hopeful trend. We wondered, what prices have homes in the Redding area been selling for?

In January, the average home sold for $179,587; and the Median Price was $143,500.
In February it was $154,203 on average, with a Median Price of $133,000.

We can attest that homes below the Median price level have been in high demand. Obviously, homes above median are selling, but it seems to us that they are on the market longer, and more often drop prices before ultimately selling.

The most expensive home sold in January was this one on El Capitan, for $875,000.

Luxury homes in Redding

Listed and sold by Nedra Cook of Coldwell Banker

It started out listed just under $1M, and was on the market over a year. It was beauty, and elegantly decorated. We toured it, but never showed it.

The most expensive home sold in February was this one on Calle Camelia, for $760,000.
Luxury home in Redding

Home listed and sold by Chad Phillips of Venture Properties

And this one first listed for $1.35M, so is evidence of our theory about high end price drops from the last paragraph. This one dropped nearly half. We were scheduled to show it, but it was scooped up before our buyers could see it. It was really quite nice.

The least expensive home sold in January was $19,900 on Montana. It listed and sold with no price drop in just over 30 days.
The least expensive home sold in February was $28,000 on Silver. It listed for $59K last October, so had to reduce.

No pictures of the least expensive? No.

And we must mention that these statistics are for the entire MLS which includes some homes outside the Greater Redding, and Shasta County area. And we must add that information seen here is deemed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed. © 2012 MLS and FBS.
Prepared by Skip Murphy on Friday, March 09, 2012 8:31 AM

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Preliminary numbers show local home sales up in February

Up a bit. The ink has barely dried on February contracts, so these numbers should be viewed as early. Still, we like to peek.
Local home sales in the Redding areaWe use numbers for “Greater Redding,” so include roughly from Lakehead to Lake California, and from Shingletown to Whiskeytown. You can compare this chart to last months in our prior post. Inventory is actually up this month. Here are the numbers behind the chart:

Redding are home sales

Redding are home sales over the last 24 months

Overall, inventory is down from 2010. We feel it when we’re out showing. You get to the end of a list much quicker. The Northstate is not an infinite market.

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What happened to all the local housing inventory?

We’ve heard a few comments about how the number of homes for sale in the Shasta MLS dropped sharply last month. Today, its around 735 homes for sale in the Redding area.
In fact, the real number of homes for sale hasn’t changed all that much over the last 6 months.Shasta County homesWe’ve shown this before, and we should have a new chart reflecting February 2012 in a day or two. Shown again here to illustrate that today’s low inventory has been steadily, but not steeply declining. The dotted red line at the top.

So what happened? Well, they changed the rules on the reports. Previously, short sales that had offers in to the bank/lender (Pending) were still reported as Active, swelling the perceived inventory numbers. The theory was that because the bank/lender had not yet agreed to the transaction, that agents should still show the property, and submit backup offers. In reality, we never like to show homes we can’t sell. So the number of “Active” homes was inflated by the large number of short sales in lender limbo. Removing Pendings from the reported number of Active homes didn’t change the housing inventory, only how it was calculated.

homes for sale in shasta county

One of 70,000+ homes *not* for sale in Shasta County

There’s much nuance to the discussion of whether that was a good idea. We think it is. The real number of homes for sale in our area is quite low. Of the 735 homes listed today, oops… now 734 since I last looked this morning, only 607 are in Shasta County. Of those, only 261 are at, or under, $200,000. That’s the very popular price point.

So what’s that mean? Inventory is low. So are prices, and more importantly perhaps, so are interest rates. If you’ve been waiting to sell, waiting for demand to pick back up, here we are. We have buyers out there looking, and they don’t have much to look at.

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Local home prices fall back to 2002 levels?

That’s the premise of Marc Beauchamp’s blogpost today. Or maybe 1987 prices. We don’t know about 1987, but here is the latest chart we have for statewide home prices from the California Association of Realtors.
Home prices in California as of Jan 2012
Looking at the chart, the state seemed to have hit 2002 levels back in 2008.

Reporting history instead of news. No no, bad blogger.

Sorry, just teasing, Marc. Prices seem to have been bouncing around ’01 or ’02 ever since the rather precipitous decline hit bottom in ’09. Here’s the Shasta County Median Price chart we like to show.

 
Shasta County home prices
So apparently Marc’s premise about 2002 is right after all. At least for Shasta County.

As long as you’ve read this far, I’m going to take the opportunity to point out that although prices are low, demand is high. And housing inventory for sale is very low. If you need to sell, there is a buyer out there waiting. You just have to keep the pricing realistic, and present the home very nicely, especially online.

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